10kclimatechallenge

10kclimatechallenge

Are you the next great climate scientist? Awarding $10,000 for the proven reproducible rate of CO2 forcing. (Verified by the UN IPCC)

polynesia, french polynesia, tahiti-3021072.jpg

Ocean Questions

These are all the questions I found related to this topic in the 3000+ pages of IPCC AR4 and AR5.

AR6 coming soon!

Very important fundamental questions exist today about the oceans influence on the climate. For example, are the oceans an over-all positive or a negative feedback on the climate? This is a very basic but extremely important question which has no proven answer today. 

The IPCC tells us today there is more debate on the ocean’s effect on the climate than ever. They explain they are gaining understanding of the power as well as the scale of the ocean’s effect while admitting big questions exist today.

The fact is they have been gaining knowledge on the oceans going back to the 1970s when claiming an ice age could happen without considering the oceans at all. This prove to be major flaw in thinking as you cannot understand the climate without considering the oceans. Is the same mistake being made again today?

Here the IPCC asks the important basic question whether the oceans are a passive recipient of atmospheric forcing or an active contributor? (AR4 Section 1.4.6 Page 111) 

The IPCC reminds us how important the oceans are in storing and transporting large amounts of heat, freshwater, and carbon. For example, it is estimated the oceans contain about 93% of heat energy stored over the last 50 years. Then over the oceans three fourths of all evaporation and precipitation occur. The oceans contain 50x more CO2 than all of the atmosphere. (AR5 Section 3.1 Page 260)

One important question that has arose since AR4 is what the IPCC calls “missing energy”.

A study on ocean measurements shows a decline in OHR (ocean heating rate) which differs from what they expected compared to the observed TOA (top of atmosphere) radiation. They call this “missing energy”. They note a study suggesting the missing energy “likely occurs” in the deeper ocean or below 275 meters. (AR5 Section 2.3.2 Page 182)

All of these questions are a challenges for the next generation of climate scientists.

beach, boat, sand-164753.jpg

Another important area of question focused on by the IPCC is the oceans’ temperature because there are many questions as well as important areas lacking data.

For example, the IPCC goes on to state it is “also likely that the upper ocean warmed over the first half of 20th century”. They list details about depth, time frames and latitudes here. (AR5 Section 3.2.5 Page 265)

woman, washing, vietnam-1822646.jpg

The Questions Chapter

Questions and more questions.

This section highlights all the important climate questions described in the UN’s IPCC assessment reports, AR4 and AR5. AR6 is coming soon!

AR4 and AR5 make up the most complete and current climate information out there, a road map for future generations. However, they are not the easiest reads because information on any particular subject is found throughout the 3000+ pages of these reports.

You make think over time there would be less questions as the climate gets figured out, but from AR4 to AR5 the number of question and material increased by several fold.

One reason for this increase in climate questions from AR4 to AR5 is the fact many predictions made in AR4 were missed, and things have been learned.

The IPCC examines most of these in more detail throughout AR5 using AR4 as a base for the science.

Inspiring the next generation

My Climate Journey

You might be on the same path?

Sharing what I have learned in my 35 years of being a “climate activist”. 

Be an informed climate activist or maybe even the next great scientist.

AR4 and AR5 are road maps for the next generation of climate scientists. 

I am awarding $10,000 for the proven rate of CO2 forcing to the next great scientist of our time.

Review of the IPCC AR4 and AR5

Collection of 9200 peer-reviewed climate studies. This is the science with 100s of questions, contradictions, missed predictions, areas lacking data, and more.

10kclimatechallange

All the Chapters

My Personal Climate Journey.

35 years and counting. You may be on the same journey.

Review of IPCC AR4 and AR5

Why AR4 and AR5 are so important.

Theory Chapter

Breaks down CO2 forcing and why models are important.

Temperature Chapter

What is warming? Entire earth? Oceans? Surface? What to know.

Model Chapter

Why use models? How are they doing?

Ocean Chapter

Role of the world's oceans that stores over 90% of Earth's heat.

Atmosphere Chapter

Is the atmosphere cooling or warming the earth?

Gases Chapter

Focus on CO2 and other greenhouse gases.

Civilization Chapter

Looking at past climate change affect on previous civilizations.

Question Chapter - ON LINE

Summary of every important question I found in AR4/AR5. More than 150 of them.

Prediction Chapter

Summary of every important prediction I found in AR4/AR5.

What is the IPCC?

UN’s IPCC Assessment Reports 4 and 5 (AR4 2007 and AR5 2014). These UN reports include over 600 authors from 32 different countries assessing 9,200 peer-reviewed studies so they are the all-inclusive on the current state of climate science putting out new reports every seven or so years.

AR5 explains the United Nation’s IPCC was created in 1988 to provide world governments with “clear information on the state of today’s climate science as well as potential impacts, and options for adaptation and migration based on regular assessments”. (AR5 Section 1.2.1 page 123)

Weather versus Climate

Is the weather or the climate easier to predict?

Is the climate easier to predict than the weather?
In AR4 2007 the IPCC believed it was easier to predict the climate than the weather because weather is chaotic making it more unpredictable. They even stated that the climate is very different and more manageable even 50 years down the road. They had a strong believe in the models understanding of the climate processes. (AR4 Page 104 FAQ1.2)
However, seven years later the IPCC did a 180 as AR5 change dramatically. For example, now saying “It is not possible to make deterministic, definitive predictions of how climate will evolve over the next century and beyond as it is with short term weather forecasts.’ (AR5 Section 12.1 Page 1034)
Why did this change? What is going on? I thought the climate was all figured out?